Archive for December, 2005

2005 California Housing Market Eclipses Previous Records

Thursday, December 29th, 2005

LOS ANGELES–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Dec. 28, 2005–The California residential real estate market in 2005 will be one for the record books, eclipsing the annual sales and median home price records set in 2004, according to the California Association of REALTORS(R) (C.A.R.).

Here are some highlights from 2005 and a look ahead to 2006:

– Sales of detached, existing single-family homes are expected to reach 635,000 in 2005, an increase of 1.8 percent over last year’s record sales of 624,700. Sales are anticipated to decline by 2 percent in 2006.

– 2005 will be a record year for home prices. The median price of a single-family home in California crossed the $500,000 threshold for the first time in April 2005. The annual median is expected to reach $523,150 in 2005 and increase 10 percent to $573,500 in 2006.

– The median price of a single-family home increased by double-digits for the fourth consecutive year in 2005, though the pace of price appreciation slowed from the 18 to 21 percent annual gains of the previous three years to 16 percent in 2005.

– C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index averaged 3.3 months in 2005. Inventory levels are expected to rise moderately in 2006 but will remain low by historic standards, fueling continued price appreciation in the California market.

– The interest rate for a fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) remained below 6 percent for much of 2005, only surpassing 6 percent in the last months of the year. For all of 2005, the FRM averaged 5.8 percent. In 2006, the interest rate for the FRM is projected to increase but remain low by historic standards in the low- to mid-6 percent range.

– The interest rate for a one-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 4.5 percent in 2005, finishing just over 5 percent at year-end. The interest rate for the one-year ARM is expected to remain within the low- to mid-5 percent range during 2006.

– With home prices reaching record levels, more homebuyers extended themselves financially in 2005 by utilizing alternative loan products. The share of homebuyers who used adjustable-rate and hybrid loans increased from 11 percent in 2003 to 43 percent in 2005, while the share of fixed-rate loans dropped from 89 percent in 2003 to 57 percent in 2005. The last time more than 40 percent of homebuyers used adjustable-rate loans was in 1994.

– Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac increased the single-family conforming mortgage loan limit from $359,650 this year to $417,000 in 2006, which could benefit more than 28,590 families in California. However, the increase in the loan limit is still far too low to benefit most homebuyers in California, as the median price of a home in California is 29 percent higher than the new loan limits. Nineteen counties in California have a median home price above the new limit.

– Internet use by homebuyers and sellers continued to climb in 2005. Based on C.A.R.’s “Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Survey,” the percentage of homebuyers using the Internet increased from 56 percent in 2004 to 62 percent in 2005.

– The share of sellers who used the Internet in their homeselling process surpassed 50 percent for the first time, rising from 47 percent in 2004 to 57 percent in 2005, according to C.A.R.’s “Survey of California Home Sellers.”

Leading the Way…(R) in California real estate for 100 years, the California Association of REALTORS(R) (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 180,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

Trend toward city living prompts builders to form urban units

Monday, December 19th, 2005

CHRISTINA ALMEIDA
Associated Press

LOS ANGELES - Home builders are beginning to follow the lead of suburbanites, who are returning to some cities in increasing numbers.

Two of the nation’s top subdivision builders opened new units this year dedicated solely to building in urban cores. What suburban developers John Laing Homes and KB Home are quickly learning, however, is that building up isn’t the same as building out.

“It isn’t like building one house,” said Jeffrey Gault, president of KB Home’s new KB Urban division. “You’ve really got to do a lot of forward planning. Once you start, you can’t change.”

Builders say they are drawn to the cities for reasons including increasing antigrowth sentiments in some suburbs. There also are market forces that have suburban residents moving back to the city to eliminate long commutes or get closer to such cultural amenities as fine restaurants and performing arts centers.

“There’s a pull from the attractiveness of city living, and there’s a push from the traffic and congestion,” said John McIlwain, senior resident fellow at the Urban Land Institute.

One new KB Home joint-venture is a condo-with-retail high-rise across from Staples Center in downtown Los Angeles. Laing Homes’ urban group has several multiuse, residential building projects in Hollywood.

The move by subdivision builders into cities is contributing to booming downtown development in cities from Los Angeles to Las Vegas, Chicago to San Diego. In Los Angeles alone, the number of housing units in downtown could more than double to almost 40,000 in five years if all the projects now under development come to fruition.

Suburban developers are finding that building in big cities is far different - the permitting process can be more complicated, the bureaucracies bigger.

The challenges of building urban developments were the main reasons John Laing Homes and KB Home created wholly owned subsidiaries dedicated to cities. One goal of these new subsidiaries: Consolidate expertise in the area of high-rise development.

“It’s much more intensive. It takes longer to plan and longer to get approval,” McIlwain said. “The kind of building is very different from what most suburban builders do.”

Instead of building 1,000 homes on 500 acres of land, 500 units may be packed inside a high-rise on a half-acre of land. Not only must every square inch of available space be maximized, the land itself can present unanticipated problems.

“When you start digging in an urban area, you’re rarely on virgin land,” said Debbie Bassert of the National Association of Home Builders. “You don’t know what you are going to find.”

Some builders had to remove old foundations before setting new ones. One found debris from old docks. A multibillion-dollar development in Los Angeles unearthed delays along with American Indian remains.

For John Laing Homes, part of the trick is to bring suburban customer service to the city.

“We have an opportunity here,” said Phil Simmons, president of Laing Urban. “But we don’t think it’s appropriate having the same people building our suburban communities build our urban communities.”

Real Estate Fraud Booms

Monday, December 5th, 2005

Mortgage scams thrive amid soaring home prices, little regulation and, in some cases, complicit borrowers. Higher rates result.

By David Streitfeld
Times Staff Writer
December 5, 2005

Real estate fraud is surging, fueled by a booming housing market, feverish refinancing activity and lax regulation, authorities say.

In the last two years, according to the FBI, reports of mortgage fraud nationally have tripled to 21,994, while the dollar value of the alleged crimes quadrupled to $1.01 billion.

The dramatic run-up in the housing market during the last four years was a boom with few equals. Abnormally low interest rates spurred refinancings, construction and speculation, while the industry developed loan products for every income and attitude.

Swindlers have lots of room to hide in an industry so flush, so busy and so much more complex than it used to be.

Mortgage fraud can be as simple as a loan applicant lying about income and as complicated as a ring of conspirators using identity theft, fake appraisals and straw buyers to steal properties from unsuspecting owners.

Much of the industry is not required to report fraud to regulators, so it doesn’t.

The amount of deceit is undoubtedly much greater than the reports indicate, FBI officials say. Fraud increases the price of mortgages for all buyers as lenders pass on their higher costs.

Consumers will take out $2.8 trillion in mortgages this year, but regulation is a hazy patchwork of local and national agencies that have minimal communication with each other.

This is especially true in regard to mortgage brokers, who barely existed 30 years ago but now are key players in the loan process. Two-thirds of home buyers turn to brokers to find financing for the biggest purchase of their lives, industry associations say.

Yet in California the agencies that monitor these middlemen say they don’t know the most basic facts about them, including how many brokers are operating in the state or how often there are complaints.

Regulation of brokers “has sort of fallen through the cracks,” FBI Assistant Director Chris Swecker said.

Some brokers think this neglect opens the door to trouble.

“We’ve got to do something to better protect the consumer,” said John Marcell Jr., an Upland, Calif., broker who is president of the California Assn. of Mortgage Brokers. “We need better education, and better policing.”

But policing requires a regulatory agency with teeth. Real estate has no equivalent to the U.S. financial industry’s overseer, the Securities and Exchange Commission. The number of fraud cases investigated by the FBI is not keeping pace with the rise in reports. The bureau’s conviction rate is falling, from a national total of 256 in 2003 to 170 this year.

Policing also requires victims to come forward. In a boom, they can be hard to find.

“It’s not like you have a bunch of bullet casings on the ground and a victim in the hospital,” said Bill Denny, a deputy district attorney in Alameda County who prosecutes criminal real estate fraud.

“The whole industry hates regulation,” he added. “Lenders never write to us and say, ‘Please [pursue] this case.’ ”

The urge to ignore includes some of the industry’s biggest players. Last summer, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two largest federally chartered lending institutions, ordered them to start informing it of mortgage fraud “in a timely manner.”

The regulation was developed after Fannie Mae was accused of covering up a $6-million fraud instead of reporting it.

Last week, the FBI arrested two people who operated real estate and escrow agencies in Downey and Seal Beach. Martha Rodriguez and Edward Seung Ok were charged with 10 counts of mail fraud in an alleged scheme that preyed on 70 homeowners facing foreclosure.

According to the FBI, the pair would promise to clean up the homeowners’ credit by having a third party cosign the refinancing papers. But the homeowners ended up losing title to their houses while Rodriguez and Ok netted $8 million, the FBI said.

Ok’s lawyer, Roger J. Rosen, said his client “didn’t do anything illegal. He helped these folks out.” Rodriguez’s lawyer didn’t return a call for comment.

In another, more wide-ranging scheme that has only partially come to light, homeowners were not victims but eager participants. This hustle, which allegedly was orchestrated by a California broker, is said to have involved hundreds of people. It illustrates just how easy it is to break the mortgage rules on a large scale, and how minimal the punishment can be if you do.

The scheme worked like this, according to the lender that issued the broker’s loans: The broker put his clients in loans in which they paid a higher-than-normal interest rate in return for negligible closing costs. These loans generate so much money for lenders that they pay brokers a big finder’s fee for them.

To keep the homeowners quiet, the broker split the loot with them. Many of the participating homeowners liked the deal so much they allowed the broker to keep refinancing their loans every few months. Each time, the broker received a new finder’s fee and the homeowners earned enough cash to pay their mortgages for a month or two.

The scheme violated California regulations against deception by brokers. But here’s what happened when the broker’s deceit was finally discovered: nothing. In fact, California regulators say they never heard of the case.

The broker’s first victim was Cleveland-based National City Mortgage, one of the country’s biggest lenders. National City gave $300 million in loans to the broker’s clients under the mistaken impression that they would have a shelf life longer than milk.

Lenders rely on the assurances of the borrower and broker that the borrower needs the mortgage and will use it in a normal manner. If, in fact, the borrower is taking the loan only for a few months because he can get paid for doing so, then the lender is going to pay excessive fees for something that is worthless.

Most lenders sell their mortgages. National City sold the California loans to Freddie Mac, which repackaged them as mortgage-backed securities for sale to investors.

The only public acknowledgment of the scheme came last April when Freddie Mac alerted buyers of 48 of its investment pools that they were, in essence, tainted. Because some of the loans in the pools were being refinanced almost immediately, the buyers of the securities weren’t getting the returns they expected.

Freddie Mac’s announcement “raised an eyebrow,” said Gary Greenberg, a mortgage specialist at Los Angeles investment firm Payden & Rygel. “This was the first time I had heard of something like this happening.”

Despite getting burned, neither National City nor Freddie Mac complained about the broker to California regulators.

That’s in keeping with the industry’s inclination to sweep its problems under the rug, according to some in the mortgage business as well as observers of the industry.

“National City wanted to let this incident die a natural death,” said Marcell, the broker association’s president. “They don’t want their counterparts to know they’re so stupid as to allow this to happen.”

National City said it cut off the broker, which it declined to identify, and disciplined the salesmen who worked with him.

“No laws were broken,” said John Gellhausen, executive vice president of National City’s consumer finance unit.

If not, said Eric Von der Porten, a Silicon Valley money manager who closely follows the housing industry, that’s evidence that oversight of brokers is extremely casual.

“Is it suddenly OK to hoodwink national banks and government-sponsored mortgage companies?” he asked.

Freddie Mac said it referred the scheme to its regulator, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. A spokeswoman for the agency said the regulator didn’t have authority over either National City or the broker.

Both Freddie Mac and its regulator declined to identify the broker.

Jack Guttentag, who runs a mortgage-advice website at mtgprofessor.com, said about a dozen readers have asked him whether it would be permissible to collude with their brokers to refinance at a high interest rate to get a large premium.

“For every one person that’s asked me, there must be at least a hundred who just went ahead and did it,” said Guttentag, a professor of finance emeritus at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

Such schemes are so common, Guttentag said, that they victimize anyone who had the income to obtain a monthly mortgage but not the cash to pay settlement costs. These are the people who legitimately need high-interest mortgages, which wrap the closing fees into the loan rate.

Experts say there is so much misrepresentation and outright fraud at this end of the mortgage market that lenders build the cost of fraud into the loan rates, much the way retailers raise the price of items that frequently are shoplifted.

Paying slightly more for your mortgage because of the unethical schemes of others might not have been much of a problem when houses were appreciating 25% a year. But they’re likely to become more of an issue as the market cools.

A slowing market might fuel further abuses. A slack market with rising interest rates would cut down on refinancings. That would create more incentive for a few brokers to churn the market by refinancing the same customers over and over, just like the broker in the National City case.

Brokers in California come under the supervision of two agencies. The Department of Real Estate says there are 127,000 people in the state who hold advanced real estate licenses. All of them can act as brokers. License revocations have doubled in the last two years, the department says, but it had no data on how many of the cases involved brokers.

The California Department of Corporations has issued 3,705 licenses to firms that can then act as brokerages. The firms are not required to report how many employees they have. The department received 386 written complaints about its brokers in the first 11 months of this year, a number that has held steady for the last three years.

Two firms have had their licenses revoked in the last year, a spokeswoman said, while another two have been told to refrain from certain activities.

If mortgage brokers are so lightly regulated, that’s partly because the industry has changed so much so quickly.

Thirty years ago, people obtained their mortgages directly from the local savings and loan, often from a person they already knew socially. Now, most buyers use a broker to scout out the best deal and never even talk to their actual lender unless they refinance.

Brokers will earn an estimated $33 billion in commissions this year. They don’t get paid until the customer gets a loan, which gives them a major incentive to make the deal happen. But they’re paid by the lender, and the higher the rate on the loan above normal, or par, the more they get paid.

This bounty is known as a yield spread premium. It’s what National City was paying the California broker involved in the questionable loans.

Yield spread premiums are controversial because the mortgage seeker rarely realizes what they are. The biggest study on premiums, done with data from the late 1990s, found that nearly all the brokers surveyed were putting their clients into more expensive loans so they could get bounties averaging nearly $2,000.

Although the homeowners paid lower closing costs on these mortgages, “they still weren’t a good deal,” said the author of the study, Harvard Law School professor Howell E. Jackson.

“People should ask their broker how much they’re making, including both yield spread premiums and direct fees, and if it’s over $2,000 they should question why,” said Jackson. “No one says the broker has to make a certain amount. It’s negotiable.”